Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Wednesday 30th September 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Liga Alef

Sept. 30, 2026 1 week from now VS

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm D W D D L L

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel D W W L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1 - 0	February 5, 2026
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1 - 0	September 26, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Away	Tzeirey Tamra	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Hapoel Nazareth Illit	2 - 2	Draw
Feb 26, 26	Away	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 21, 26	Home	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0 - 2	Loss
Feb 12, 26	Home	Hapoel Beit Shean	2 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 10, 26	Home	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	3 - 0	Win
Sep 4, 26	Away	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	1 - 3	Win
Feb 27, 26	Home	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 19, 26	Away	Tira	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 13, 26	Home	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	2	2	0	0	6	1	+5	6
15	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2	1	1	0	4	3	+1	4

This prediction indicates that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has a 37.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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