Hedensted vs Marienlyst Tuesday 04th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Hedensted Marienlyst

Hedensted D L W L W W

Marienlyst D L L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Marienlyst	Hedensted	3 - 1	August 6, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 11, 23	Away	Holstebro	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 30, 22	Home	Thisted FC	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 2, 22	Home	Dalum	1 - 0	Win
Nov 11, 20	Home	Fremad Amager	1 - 5	Loss
Oct 6, 20	Home	Viborg	3 - 1	Win
Sep 2, 20	Away	Fjordager	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 28, 26	Home	Næsby	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 6, 25	Home	Esbjerg	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 10, 24	Home	SfB-Oure	0 - 1	Loss
Feb 3, 24	Home	Næsby	3 - 4	Loss
Jan 23, 24	Away	Middelfart	0 - 1	Win
Feb 18, 23	Away	VSK Århus	0 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Hedensted has a 51.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.57 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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