DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Hedensted
Marienlyst
Hedensted
D
L
W
L
W
W
Marienlyst
D
L
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Hedensted and Marienlyst have shown poor recent form, which could make for a tight and low-scoring match. Hedensted does have a modest quality edge and comes into the game with a notable rest advantage, which may help them perform better despite their recent struggles. The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability and suggests that under 2.5 goals are more likely, aligning with the general sense that both teams are in shaky form. There’s also a 49% chance that neither team will score, indicating the match might end with few or no goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marienlyst | Hedensted | 3 - 1 | August 6, 2019 |
Hedensted Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 23 | Away | Holstebro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 22 | Home | Thisted FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 22 | Home | Dalum | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Nov 11, 20 | Home | Fremad Amager | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Oct 6, 20 | Home | Viborg | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 2, 20 | Away | Fjordager | 1 - 2 | Win |
Marienlyst Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 26 | Home | Næsby | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 25 | Home | Esbjerg | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Feb 10, 24 | Home | SfB-Oure | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Feb 3, 24 | Home | Næsby | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Jan 23, 24 | Away | Middelfart | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Feb 18, 23 | Away | VSK Århus | 0 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Hedensted to win
This prediction indicates that Hedensted has a 51.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.59 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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