Eredivisie
Match Analysis
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
L
D
W
W
D
W
AZ Alkmaar
W
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | Heerenveen | 3 - 0 | April 12, 2026 |
| Heerenveen | AZ Alkmaar | 3 - 1 | November 23, 2025 |
| AZ Alkmaar | Heerenveen | 4 - 1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Heerenveen | AZ Alkmaar | 3 - 1 | March 2, 2025 |
| AZ Alkmaar | Heerenveen | 9 - 1 | September 14, 2024 |
| Heerenveen | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 2 | January 28, 2024 |
Heerenveen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | PEC Zwolle | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Ajax | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Twente | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Volos NFC | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | OH Leuven | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Club Brugge KV | 2 - 3 | Win |
AZ Alkmaar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Fortuna Sittard | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Utrecht | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | ADO Den Haag | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Genk | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Zulte Waregem | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Eredivisie Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.59% likelihood that both Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.AZ Alkmaar to win
This prediction indicates that AZ Alkmaar has a 52.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.15 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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