A Lyga
Match Analysis
Hegelmann Litauen
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
D
L
L
L
W
L
Panevėžys
L
L
W
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panevėžys | Hegelmann Litauen | 1 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | Panevėžys | 3 - 2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Panevėžys | Hegelmann Litauen | 1 - 1 | March 7, 2026 |
| Panevėžys | Hegelmann Litauen | 0 - 1 | September 21, 2025 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | Panevėžys | 3 - 1 | August 17, 2025 |
| Panevėžys | Hegelmann Litauen | 3 - 0 | May 10, 2025 |
Hegelmann Litauen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Banga | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | TransINVEST Vilnius | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Šiauliai | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Suduva Marijampole | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Panevėžys Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Suduva Marijampole | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Šiauliai | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | TransINVEST Vilnius | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Džiugas Telšiai | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
A Lyga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Panevėžys | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 26 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 23 |
Predictions
Hegelmann Litauen to win
This prediction indicates that Hegelmann Litauen has a 44.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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