A Lyga
Match Analysis
Hegelmann Litauen
Suduva Marijampole
Hegelmann Litauen
D
D
L
L
L
W
Suduva Marijampole
W
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suduva Marijampole | Hegelmann Litauen | 5 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | Suduva Marijampole | 2 - 2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Hegelmann Litauen | 0 - 0 | March 14, 2026 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | Suduva Marijampole | 2 - 1 | November 8, 2025 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Hegelmann Litauen | 2 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | Suduva Marijampole | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2025 |
Hegelmann Litauen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Džiugas Telšiai | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Banga | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | TransINVEST Vilnius | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Šiauliai | 0 - 2 | Win |
Suduva Marijampole Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Šiauliai | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Panevėžys | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Džiugas Telšiai | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Banga | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | TransINVEST Vilnius | 0 - 0 | Draw |
A Lyga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 18 | +25 | 51 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.95% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Suduva Marijampole to win
This prediction indicates that Suduva Marijampole has a 48.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.24 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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