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Heilongjiang Lava Spring logo Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Dongguan United logo Dongguan United

Match Analysis

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Dongguan United
Heilongjiang Lava Spring L L D W L D
Dongguan United L L L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dongguan United Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1 - 1 May 23, 2026
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Dongguan United 3 - 0 August 10, 2025
Dongguan United Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0 - 0 April 23, 2025
Dongguan United Heilongjiang Lava Spring 5 - 1 October 5, 2024
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Dongguan United 4 - 4 May 26, 2024
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Dongguan United 1 - 0 October 28, 2023

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Suzhou Dongwu 3 - 4 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Hebei Kungfu 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Nanjing City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Dalian Huayi 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Nantong Zhiyun 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Guangxi Hengchen 4 - 4 Draw

Dongguan United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Shenzhen Juniors 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away Changchun Yatai 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Hebei Kungfu 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Meizhou Kejia 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Guangzhou E-Power 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Wuxi Wugou 0 - 2 Loss

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Heilongjiang Lava Spring 21 4 10 7 33 42 -9 22
16 Dongguan United 21 2 5 14 21 45 -24 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.44% likelihood that both Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Dongguan United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring to win
This prediction indicates that Heilongjiang Lava Spring has a 56.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.88 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League One

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