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National League - South

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town Farnham Town
Hemel Hempstead Town L W D D L L
Farnham Town W L L W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Hemel Hempstead Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Home Maidenhead 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Farnborough 0 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away St Albans City 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Wealdstone 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Barnet 1 - 2 Loss

Farnham Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 18, 26 Away Slough Town 0 - 1 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Dagenham & Redbridge 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home AFC Totton 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Eastleigh 1 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Yeovil Town 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Rochdale 2 - 2 Draw

National League - South Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Hemel Hempstead Town 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4
16 Farnham Town 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3

Predictions

Hemel Hempstead Town to win
This prediction indicates that Hemel Hempstead Town has a 50.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.62 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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