HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Thursday 13th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

HNK Hajduk Split FK Zalgiris Vilnius

HNK Hajduk Split L W L W W W

FK Zalgiris Vilnius W W L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Pafos	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Pafos	2 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 26	Away	Žilina	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	Žilina	2 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Celje	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	LNZ Cherkasy	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	7 - 2	Win
Jul 27, 26	Away	Hegelmann Litauen	2 - 3	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Dinamo Tbilisi	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	TransINVEST Vilnius	3 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Petrovac	2 - 1	Win
Jul 9, 26	Away	Petrovac	1 - 3	Win

This prediction indicates that HNK Hajduk Split has a 56.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.67 %

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