HNK Hajduk Split vs Raków Częstochowa Thursday 20th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

UEFA Europa Conference League

Aug. 20, 2026 5 days, 13 hours from now VS

HNK Hajduk Split Raków Częstochowa

HNK Hajduk Split W D W L L W

Raków Częstochowa W D L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 13, 26	Home	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	4 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Istra 1961	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 6, 26	Away	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	2 - 5	Win
Aug 2, 26	Away	NK Varazdin	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 30, 26	Away	Pafos	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Pafos	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 13, 26	Away	Hammarby FF	0 - 1	Win
Aug 6, 26	Home	Hammarby FF	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 2, 26	Away	Slask Wroclaw	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 30, 26	Away	Valletta FC	0 - 4	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Wisla Plock	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Valletta FC	3 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that HNK Hajduk Split has a 44.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.31 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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