HNK Rijeka vs Ilves Thursday 06th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

HNK Rijeka Ilves

HNK Rijeka W W W W W W

Ilves W W L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Derry City	0 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Derry City	1 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Dekani	2 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Radomlje	0 - 2	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	0 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Bravo	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Stjarnan	1 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Lahti	1 - 0	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Stjarnan	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 20, 26	Away	Turku PS	1 - 3	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	FC Differdange 03	3 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	FC Differdange 03	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that HNK Rijeka has a 48.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.49 %

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