HNL
Match Analysis
HNK Rijeka
Rudes
HNK Rijeka
W
W
W
W
W
W
Rudes
D
L
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
HNK Rijeka is seen as clearly the stronger side, with better recent form and a history of dominance over Rudes in their past encounters. Despite Rudes having a rest advantage, the model predicts a home win with a 76% probability, which aligns with the strong market odds favoring Rijeka. The model also leans towards more goals being scored, predicting over 1.5 goals with 62% confidence and over 2.5 goals with 60% confidence, both of which are supported by the relatively low market odds for the over outcomes. The likelihood of both teams scoring is modest at 47%, matching the market's slight preference for no goals from Rudes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes | HNK Rijeka | 0 - 3 | March 30, 2024 |
| HNK Rijeka | Rudes | 3 - 0 | December 16, 2023 |
| Rudes | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 2 | October 1, 2023 |
| HNK Rijeka | Rudes | 4 - 0 | July 22, 2023 |
| HNK Rijeka | Rudes | 3 - 1 | April 28, 2019 |
| Rudes | HNK Rijeka | 2 - 4 | February 22, 2019 |
HNK Rijeka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Derry City | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Derry City | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Dekani | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Radomlje | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Away | Brinje-Grosuplje | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Bravo | 1 - 2 | Win |
Rudes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Goztepe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Cukaricki | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Feb 7, 26 | Away | Ruh Lviv | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 25 | Away | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 - 2 | Loss |
HNL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rudes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | HNK Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
HNK Rijeka to win
This prediction indicates that HNK Rijeka has a 76.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.00 %Most Likely Scorelines
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