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FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Holmesdale Windsor
Holmesdale L W D L L L
Windsor L D L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Holmesdale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 25 Away Ashford United 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 6, 25 Home Tunbridge Wells 1 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 25 Away Tunbridge Wells 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 3, 24 Home Crawley Down Gatwick 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 5, 23 Home Midhurst & Easebourne 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 22, 23 Home Phoenix Sports 0 - 3 Loss

Windsor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 22 Home Royal Wootton 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 6, 22 Away Royal Wootton 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 21 Away Tuffley Rovers 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 12, 20 Away Wantage Town 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 1, 20 Away Aylesbury Vale Dynamos 1 - 2 Win
Aug 10, 19 Home Reading City 0 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Holmesdale or Windsor to win
This prediction indicates that Holmesdale has a 39.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.54 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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