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Premier League
Holywell logo Holywell
Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Trefelin logo Trefelin

Match Analysis

Holywell Trefelin
Holywell L L L D D
Trefelin L L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Holywell Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Llandudno 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Cardiff MET 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Mold Alexandra 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 23, 26 Away Holyhead Hotspur 2 - 2 Draw

Trefelin Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away GAP Connah S Quay FC 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Llandudno 0 - 4 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Colwyn Bay 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Bromsgrove Sporting 8 - 0 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Away Carmarthen Town 4 - 2 Loss

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 Holywell 3 0 0 3 3 12 -9 0
16 Trefelin 3 0 0 3 0 12 -12 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that both Holywell and Trefelin will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Holywell to win
This prediction indicates that Holywell has a 54.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.19 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Premier League

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Penybont vs Llandudno 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Holywell vs Barry Town 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cambrian & Clydach 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Cardiff MET vs The New Saints 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Flint Town United vs Briton Ferry 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. ›