HPS vs Reipas Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

HPS Reipas

HPS W L W D W W

Reipas L W L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Reipas	HPS	2 - 2	April 24, 2026

HPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	PuiU Helsinki	0 - 2	Win
Jun 12, 26	Home	Kiffen	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Union Plaani	0 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	PPJ	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	HIFK Elsinki	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Atlantis	4 - 3	Win

Reipas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Kiffen	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Union Plaani	4 - 2	Win
Jun 4, 26	Away	PEPO	2 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Atlantis	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	PPJ	3 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	MyPa	0 - 5	Win

Kakkonen - Lohko A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Reipas	9	5	1	3	20	14	+6	16
6	HPS	9	4	2	3	18	15	+3	14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.81% likelihood that both HPS and Reipas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

HPS to win

This prediction indicates that HPS has a 42.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.30 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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