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Victoria NPL logo

Victoria NPL

June 20, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Hume City Green Gully
Hume City W D W W W W
Green Gully L D L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Green Gully Hume City 1 - 1 March 6, 2026
Hume City Green Gully 3 - 2 May 30, 2025
Green Gully Hume City 1 - 1 February 21, 2025
Green Gully Hume City 1 - 2 May 25, 2024
Hume City Green Gully 2 - 0 February 17, 2024
Hume City Green Gully 0 - 1 July 15, 2023

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 5, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 1 - 5 Win
May 30, 26 Home South Melbourne 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Altona Magic 1 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Home Avondale 3 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 2 - 4 Win
May 2, 26 Home Heidelberg United 2 - 1 Win

Green Gully Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 5, 26 Home Avondale 0 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 0 - 0 Draw
May 22, 26 Home Heidelberg United 0 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Melbourne City II 1 - 3 Loss
May 8, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 1 - 0 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 5 Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Hume City 16 10 3 3 33 19 +14 33
14 Green Gully 16 0 4 12 6 35 -29 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.25% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Hume City to win
This prediction indicates that Hume City has a 64.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.34 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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