Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa Saturday 25th July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Hwaseong Asan Mugunghwa

Hwaseong L W W W D W

Asan Mugunghwa W D W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Asan Mugunghwa	Hwaseong	1 - 0	March 28, 2026
Hwaseong	Asan Mugunghwa	1 - 1	September 7, 2025
Asan Mugunghwa	Hwaseong	1 - 1	July 26, 2025
Hwaseong	Asan Mugunghwa	1 - 1	March 2, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Suwon Bluewings	1 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Gyeongnam FC	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Cheongju	2 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Busan I Park	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Suwon City FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Ansan Greeners	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Gimpo Citizen	0 - 2	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Busan I Park	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Suwon Bluewings	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Yongin City	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Suwon City FC	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Seoul E-Land FC	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Asan Mugunghwa	15	7	5	3	25	16	+9	26
6	Hwaseong	15	7	4	4	22	17	+5	25

This prediction indicates that Asan Mugunghwa has a 37.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.96 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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