Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Match Analysis
Hércules
Real Murcia
Hércules
L
D
D
W
W
L
Real Murcia
D
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hércules | Real Murcia | 2 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| Real Murcia | Hércules | 1 - 1 | January 11, 2026 |
| Real Murcia | Hércules | 1 - 0 | January 18, 2025 |
| Hércules | Real Murcia | 2 - 0 | September 21, 2024 |
| Hércules | Real Murcia | 2 - 1 | August 17, 2024 |
| Real Murcia | Hércules | 0 - 1 | August 18, 2021 |
Hércules Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Alcoyano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Castellón | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Gimnastic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Algeciras | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Ibiza | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Villarreal II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Real Murcia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Albacete | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Cieza | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Eldense | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Port Vale | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Eldense | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Juventud Torremolinos | 1 - 3 | Win |
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Real Murcia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Hércules | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Hércules to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Hércules has a 36.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.39 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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