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Úrvalsdeild

Aug. 9, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

IA Akranes Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes L L L L L W
Thor Akureyri W L D L D L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Thor Akureyri IA Akranes 1 - 2 May 17, 2026
Thor Akureyri IA Akranes 2 - 3 September 2, 2023
IA Akranes Thor Akureyri 4 - 0 June 29, 2023
IA Akranes Thor Akureyri 5 - 0 July 27, 2018
Thor Akureyri IA Akranes 0 - 1 May 10, 2018

IA Akranes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 20, 26 Away Keflavik 5 - 2 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away KA Akureyri 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Breidablik 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 29, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 3 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 1 - 0 Win

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 2 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Fram Reykjavik 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 2, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 4 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 IA Akranes 15 3 3 9 20 34 -14 12
12 Thor Akureyri 15 3 2 10 17 42 -25 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.59% likelihood that both IA Akranes and Thor Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
IA Akranes to win
This prediction indicates that IA Akranes has a 51.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.86 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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