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Úrvalsdeild

July 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Stjarnan IA Akranes
Stjarnan L D W L D W
IA Akranes L L L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
IA Akranes Stjarnan 1 - 2 May 3, 2026
IA Akranes Stjarnan 0 - 3 June 22, 2025
Stjarnan IA Akranes 2 - 1 April 14, 2025
Stjarnan IA Akranes 3 - 0 September 30, 2024
IA Akranes Stjarnan 1 - 3 July 28, 2024
Stjarnan IA Akranes 4 - 1 May 5, 2024

Stjarnan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 9, 26 Away Vikingur Gota 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home KA Akureyri 3 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Breidablik 4 - 4 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 1 - 3 Win

IA Akranes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Breidablik 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 29, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 3 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 1 - 0 Win
May 29, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 0 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 - 2 Draw

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Stjarnan 14 5 3 6 29 30 -1 18
9 IA Akranes 13 3 3 7 16 26 -10 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.45% likelihood that both Stjarnan and IA Akranes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Stjarnan to win
This prediction indicates that Stjarnan has a 56.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.29 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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