Iceland vs Estonia Saturday 26th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Iceland

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Estonia

Match Analysis

Iceland Estonia

Iceland W L D D L L

Estonia W L D L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Iceland	Estonia	1 - 1	January 8, 2023

Iceland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Home	Argentina	3 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Japan	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Haiti	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 28, 26	Away	Canada	2 - 2	Draw
Feb 26, 26	Away	Mexico	4 - 0	Loss
Nov 16, 25	Away	Ukraine	2 - 0	Loss

Estonia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 18, 25	Away	Cyprus	2 - 4	Win
Nov 13, 25	Away	Norway	4 - 1	Loss
Oct 14, 25	Home	Moldova	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 11, 25	Home	Italy	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Home	Andorra	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 5, 25	Away	Italy	5 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that both Iceland and Estonia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Iceland to win

This prediction indicates that Iceland has a 52.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.21 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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