Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Illescas
SS Reyes II
Illescas
D
L
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win with a 44% probability. Given that the two teams are closely matched in overall quality but both are showing poor recent form, the model leans slightly toward the home side despite the lack of clear advantage. The model also suggests there's a 53% chance both teams will score and a 46% chance the game will stay under 2.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a tight, potentially low-scoring match. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the teams' current form and relative quality.
Illescas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Talavera | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jan 4, 25 | Home | Toledo | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 24 | Home | Leganés II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 24 | Home | Rayo Vallecano II | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 23 | Home | Valencia II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 23 | Away | Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Illescas to win
This prediction indicates that Illescas has a 44.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.02 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Friendlies Clubs
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