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Friendlies Clubs
Marchamalo logo Marchamalo
Aug. 18, 2026 3 days, 16 hours from now VS
Guadalajara logo Guadalajara

Match Analysis

Marchamalo Guadalajara
Marchamalo L L W L D D
Guadalajara D L W D D L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Marchamalo Guadalajara 2 - 3 August 20, 2024

Marchamalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 24 Home Guadalajara 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 24 Away Móstoles 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 3, 22 Away Pozuelo Alarcón 1 - 2 Win
Nov 30, 21 Home Valladolid 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 14, 21 Away Calvo Sotelo 0 - 0 Draw
Dec 15, 20 Home Huesca 1 - 1 Draw

Guadalajara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Real Madrid II 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Athletic Club II 2 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Arenteiro 2 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Real Avilés 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 24, 26 Away Cacereño 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Pontevedra 1 - 4 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.04% likelihood that both Marchamalo and Guadalajara will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Marchamalo or Guadalajara to win
This prediction indicates that Guadalajara has a 40.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.16 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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