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Veikkausliiga

July 26, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Ilves Lahti
Ilves L W W D L D
Lahti W W W D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lahti Ilves 5 - 0 May 30, 2026
Lahti Ilves 2 - 2 June 29, 2024
Ilves Lahti 0 - 0 April 6, 2024
Lahti Ilves 1 - 5 October 21, 2023
Lahti Ilves 3 - 2 September 3, 2023
Ilves Lahti 2 - 2 June 3, 2023

Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 23, 26 Away Stjarnan 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 20, 26 Away Turku PS 1 - 3 Win
Jul 16, 26 Home FC Differdange 03 3 - 1 Win
Jul 8, 26 Away FC Differdange 03 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away FF Jaro 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home SJK 2 - 2 Draw

Lahti Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 20, 26 Away Mariehamn 0 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home HJK helsinki 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Gnistan 1 - 0 Win
Jun 27, 26 Away AC Oulu 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 23, 26 Home Turku PS 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Away Gnistan 1 - 0 Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Lahti 16 6 4 6 20 15 +5 22
9 Ilves 16 5 4 7 28 30 -2 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.38% likelihood that both Ilves and Lahti will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ilves to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 36.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Top Picks
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Odds Comparison
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