Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
D
L
D
L
W
W
Lahti
W
D
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lahti | Ilves | 5 - 0 | May 30, 2026 |
| Lahti | Ilves | 2 - 2 | June 29, 2024 |
| Ilves | Lahti | 0 - 0 | April 6, 2024 |
| Lahti | Ilves | 1 - 5 | October 21, 2023 |
| Lahti | Ilves | 3 - 2 | September 3, 2023 |
| Ilves | Lahti | 2 - 2 | June 3, 2023 |
Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | FC Differdange 03 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | FF Jaro | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | SJK | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | KuPS | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Turku PS | 1 - 0 | Win |
Lahti Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Gnistan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 23, 26 | Home | Turku PS | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Gnistan | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | SJK | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Ilves | 5 - 0 | Win |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lahti | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 | Ilves | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 16 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.59% likelihood that both Ilves and Lahti will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ilves to win
This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 50.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.26 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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