Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
L
L
W
W
L
W
VPS
L
L
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| VPS | Ilves | 3 - 2 | April 24, 2026 |
| Ilves | VPS | 3 - 2 | July 14, 2025 |
| VPS | Ilves | 1 - 0 | May 2, 2025 |
| VPS | Ilves | 0 - 2 | October 4, 2024 |
| Ilves | VPS | 3 - 2 | July 21, 2024 |
| VPS | Ilves | 1 - 1 | June 7, 2024 |
Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Stjarnan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Lahti | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Stjarnan | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 1 - 3 | Win |
VPS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Inter Turku | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | KuPS | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | HJK helsinki | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | SJK | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Mariehamn | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Gnistan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | VPS | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 27 |
| 9 | Ilves | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.1% likelihood that both Ilves and VPS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ilves to win
This prediction indicates that Ilves has a 49.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments