Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
W
W
W
W
W
L
Emelec
W
D
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | Independiente del Valle | 2 - 0 | March 20, 2026 |
| Emelec | Independiente del Valle | 0 - 1 | August 24, 2025 |
| Independiente del Valle | Emelec | 1 - 2 | May 4, 2025 |
| Independiente del Valle | Emelec | 2 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
| Emelec | Independiente del Valle | 0 - 0 | March 31, 2024 |
| Independiente del Valle | Emelec | 2 - 1 | September 30, 2023 |
Independiente del Valle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Aucas | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Mushuc Runa SC | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Manta FC | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Guayaquil City FC | 2 - 4 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Rosario Central | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Libertad | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Emelec Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Orense SC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Barcelona SC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Delfin SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Universidad Catolica | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Macara | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Manta FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 19 | +24 | 46 |
| 9 | Emelec | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Independiente del Valle to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente del Valle has a 70.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.44 %Most Likely Scorelines
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