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Division Intermedia

Sept. 15, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Independiente F.b.c. Encarnación
Independiente F.b.c. L D W D D D
Encarnación W L L L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Encarnación Independiente F.b.c. 2 - 3 May 23, 2026
Encarnación Independiente F.b.c. 3 - 0 July 4, 2025
Independiente F.b.c. Encarnación 1 - 0 March 28, 2025
Encarnación Independiente F.b.c. 2 - 2 October 7, 2024
Independiente F.b.c. Encarnación 3 - 1 July 1, 2024

Independiente F.b.c. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away 3 de Noviembre 5 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home General Caballero 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Guairena FC 1 - 2 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Resistencia 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away SOL DE America 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Deportivo Capiata 1 - 1 Draw

Encarnación Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away Sportivo Carapeguá 1 - 3 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home 12 de Junio VH 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Paraguari AC 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away Deportivo Santani 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Fernando De La Mora 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Home 3 de Noviembre 2 - 1 Win

Division Intermedia Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Independiente F.b.c. 21 6 9 6 30 31 -1 27
16 Encarnación 20 4 3 13 18 28 -10 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Independiente F.b.c. to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente F.b.c. has a 48.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.76 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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