Division Intermedia
Match Analysis
Independiente F.b.c.
Resistencia
Independiente F.b.c.
D
D
L
D
D
L
Resistencia
W
W
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that Independiente F.B.C. has a 43% chance of winning this match. Despite the two teams being closely matched in overall quality and having similar rest, Resistencia's moderate recent form contrasts with Independiente F.B.C.'s poor recent form. The model also notes that recent meetings between these sides have mostly ended in draws. The market odds are not available for comparison in this fixture.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistencia | Independiente F.b.c. | 0 - 0 | April 17, 2026 |
| Independiente F.b.c. | Resistencia | 1 - 2 | August 17, 2025 |
| Resistencia | Independiente F.b.c. | 3 - 1 | May 10, 2025 |
| Resistencia | Independiente F.b.c. | 1 - 1 | September 3, 2024 |
| Independiente F.b.c. | Resistencia | 2 - 1 | May 27, 2024 |
| Resistencia | Independiente F.b.c. | 0 - 0 | October 26, 2021 |
Independiente F.b.c. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | SOL DE America | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Deportivo Capiata | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Paraguari AC | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Tacuary | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | Atlético Tembetary | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Benjamín Aceval | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Resistencia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Tacuary | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Atlético Tembetary | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Benjamín Aceval | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Sportivo Carapeguá | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | 12 de Junio VH | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Encarnación | 1 - 0 | Win |
Division Intermedia Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Resistencia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Independiente F.b.c. | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.56% likelihood that both Independiente F.b.c. and Resistencia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Independiente F.b.c. to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente F.b.c. has a 43.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.76 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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