Bayern München vs Aston Villa Friday 07th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bayern München Aston Villa

Bayern München W W W D D L

Aston Villa W W W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aston Villa	Bayern München	1 - 0	October 2, 2024

Bayern München Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	VfB Stuttgart	3 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	1.FC Köln	5 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	VfL Wolfsburg	0 - 1	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	FC Heidenheim	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 28, 26	Away	Paris Saint Germain	5 - 4	Loss

Aston Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Walsall	0 - 5	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Manchester City	1 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Away	SC Freiburg	0 - 3	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Liverpool	4 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Burnley	2 - 2	Draw
May 7, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	4 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.03% likelihood that both Bayern München and Aston Villa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bayern München to win

This prediction indicates that Bayern München has a 66.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.80 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 74.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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