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Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Independiente Medellin Cucuta
Independiente Medellin W W L W D W
Cucuta L D L L D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Independiente Medellin Cucuta 2 - 1 June 2, 2026
Cucuta Independiente Medellin 1 - 3 February 10, 2026
Independiente Medellin Cucuta 1 - 2 October 5, 2023
Cucuta Independiente Medellin 0 - 1 September 28, 2023
Independiente Medellin Cucuta 4 - 1 October 9, 2020
Independiente Medellin Cucuta 3 - 0 October 11, 2019

Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 4, 26 Away Deportes Tolima 2 - 3 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Deportivo Cali 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Deportivo Pasto 3 - 2 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Vasco DA Gama 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 2, 26 Home Cucuta 2 - 1 Win

Cucuta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Fortaleza FC 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Away Bucaramanga 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 27, 26 Away Once Caldas 5 - 1 Loss
Jun 2, 26 Away Independiente Medellin 2 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Fortaleza FC 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Leones FC 0 - 0 Draw

Primera A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Independiente Medellin 22 10 5 7 33 28 +5 35
18 Cucuta 22 3 8 11 24 43 -19 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Independiente Medellin to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 71.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.38 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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