Primera A
Match Analysis
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
W
D
L
W
D
W
Deportivo Pasto
L
L
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | January 18, 2026 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 2 | August 19, 2025 |
| Independiente Medellin | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 0 | March 4, 2025 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | September 9, 2024 |
| Independiente Medellin | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 0 | March 1, 2024 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellin | 0 - 0 | October 26, 2023 |
Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Leones FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Estudiantes L.P. | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Cusco | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Orsomarso | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
Deportivo Pasto Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 26 | Home | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Junior | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 23, 26 | Home | Santa Fe | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 17, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 0 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | +1 | 34 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Independiente Medellin to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 57.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.85 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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