Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares Saturday 19th September 2026 04:10 AM football predictions.

Primera A

Independiente Medellin

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Jaguares

Match Analysis

Independiente Medellin Jaguares

Independiente Medellin W W L W W L

Jaguares D W D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Jaguares	Independiente Medellin	1 - 2	March 15, 2026
Jaguares	Independiente Medellin	0 - 1	August 7, 2025
Independiente Medellin	Jaguares	1 - 1	July 31, 2025
Independiente Medellin	Jaguares	4 - 1	October 29, 2024
Jaguares	Independiente Medellin	2 - 2	April 7, 2024
Jaguares	Independiente Medellin	1 - 1	September 2, 2023

Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Away	Deportivo Pereira	0 - 3	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Llaneros	2 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Cucuta	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 4, 26	Away	Deportes Tolima	2 - 3	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Deportivo Cali	1 - 0	Win
Jul 29, 26	Away	Vasco DA Gama	1 - 0	Loss

Jaguares Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	America de Cali	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Home	Chico	1 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Once Caldas	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 5, 26	Away	La Equidad	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Home	Atletico Nacional	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Deportivo Cali	2 - 0	Loss

Primera A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Independiente Medellin	24	11	5	8	35	30	+5	38
17	Jaguares	25	6	5	14	24	42	-18	23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Independiente Medellin to win

This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 68.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.83 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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