Independiente vs Gimnasia M. Monday 31st August 2026 01:15 AM football predictions.

Liga Profesional Argentina

Aug. 31, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Independiente Gimnasia M.

Independiente L L L W W L

Gimnasia M. L W L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gimnasia M.	Independiente	1 - 1	February 25, 2026
Gimnasia M.	Independiente	1 - 2	June 29, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 12, 26	Away	Atletico Tucuman	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Home	Platense	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	Velez Sarsfield	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Newells Old Boys	1 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Estudiantes L.P.	0 - 2	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Racing Club	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	Instituto Cordoba	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Union Santa Fe	2 - 0	Win
Jul 28, 26	Away	San Lorenzo	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Central Cordoba de Santiago	1 - 0	Win
May 4, 26	Home	Defensa Y Justicia	2 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Independ. Rivadavia	5 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Independiente	21	8	6	7	28	25	+3	30
23	Gimnasia M.	20	7	4	9	17	24	-7	25

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Independiente has a 52.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.04 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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