Liga Profesional Argentina
Match Analysis
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Independiente
D
W
L
L
L
W
San Lorenzo
D
W
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | Independiente | 1 - 2 | May 2, 2026 |
| Independiente | San Lorenzo | 1 - 1 | September 21, 2025 |
| San Lorenzo | Independiente | 1 - 2 | March 8, 2025 |
| Independiente | San Lorenzo | 0 - 0 | August 3, 2024 |
| San Lorenzo | Independiente | 0 - 0 | April 1, 2023 |
| San Lorenzo | Independiente | 1 - 1 | June 4, 2022 |
Independiente Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Independ. Rivadavia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Lanus | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Atletico Tucuman | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Platense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Velez Sarsfield | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Newells Old Boys | 1 - 0 | Win |
San Lorenzo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Union Santa Fe | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Huracan | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Gimnasia M. | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Lanus | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Liga Profesional Argentina Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Independiente | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 34 |
| 21 | San Lorenzo | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Independiente to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente has a 51.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.47 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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