Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Indy Eleven Charleston Battery

Indy Eleven L W W W L D

Charleston Battery W W W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Charleston Battery	Indy Eleven	2 - 1	September 6, 2025
Indy Eleven	Charleston Battery	1 - 3	April 19, 2025
Charleston Battery	Indy Eleven	5 - 0	August 2, 2024
Indy Eleven	Charleston Battery	2 - 4	April 13, 2024
Charleston Battery	Indy Eleven	5 - 0	October 22, 2023
Indy Eleven	Charleston Battery	1 - 1	July 12, 2023

Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Rhode Island	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Lexington	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	2 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	2 - 2	Draw

Charleston Battery Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Home	Loudoun United	4 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	2 - 5	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	5 - 1	Win
Jun 10, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	New Mexico United	1 - 0	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Charleston Battery	14	8	2	4	30	19	+11	26
10	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16	12	+4	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.05% likelihood that both Indy Eleven and Charleston Battery will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Charleston Battery to win

This prediction indicates that Charleston Battery has a 42.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.94 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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