Ironi Nesher vs Beitar Nahariya Wednesday 30th September 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Liga Alef

Sept. 30, 2026 1 week from now VS

Ironi Nesher Beitar Nahariya

Ironi Nesher W W W D L W

Beitar Nahariya W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Home	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	5 - 1	Win
Sep 9, 26	Away	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	0 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 26	Home	Tzeirey Tamra	6 - 1	Win
Feb 27, 26	Home	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 19, 26	Away	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	3 - 0	Loss
Feb 13, 26	Home	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 18, 26	Away	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1 - 2	Win
Sep 10, 26	Home	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	2 - 0	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	3	3	0	0	13	2	+11	9
2	Beitar Nahariya	3	3	0	0	5	1	+4	9

This prediction indicates that Ironi Nesher has a 43.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.56 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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