Irtysh vs FK Tobol Kostanay Sunday 16th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Irtysh FK Tobol Kostanay

Irtysh W W L D L D

FK Tobol Kostanay D W D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Tobol Kostanay	Irtysh	1 - 0	May 9, 2026
Irtysh	FK Tobol Kostanay	0 - 0	August 17, 2019
Irtysh	FK Tobol Kostanay	0 - 2	August 11, 2019
FK Tobol Kostanay	Irtysh	3 - 0	March 9, 2019
FK Tobol Kostanay	Irtysh	1 - 2	October 6, 2018
FK Tobol Kostanay	Irtysh	1 - 1	July 22, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Kaspiy	3 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Ulytau	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Zhenys	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Kaisar	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	Kaisar	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Zhenys	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Panevėžys	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Atyrau	1 - 0	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	Panevėžys	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Okzhetpes	3 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Altay	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	FK Tobol Kostanay	19	6	4	9	21	26	-5	22
16	Irtysh	18	2	8	8	16	23	-7	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FK Tobol Kostanay has a 40.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.45 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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