Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Saturday 19th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

HNL

Istra 1961

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

HNK Gorica

Match Analysis

Istra 1961 HNK Gorica

Istra 1961 D D L W D L

HNK Gorica D L L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
HNK Gorica	Istra 1961	1 - 0	April 27, 2026
Istra 1961	HNK Gorica	0 - 2	February 21, 2026
HNK Gorica	Istra 1961	1 - 0	November 23, 2025
Istra 1961	HNK Gorica	1 - 0	August 29, 2025
HNK Gorica	Istra 1961	3 - 2	April 12, 2025
Istra 1961	HNK Gorica	0 - 0	January 31, 2025

Istra 1961 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Away	NK Varazdin	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Dinamo Zagreb	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	HNK Rijeka	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	NK Slaven Belupo	3 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Away	HNK Hajduk Split	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2 - 3	Loss

HNK Gorica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	HNK Rijeka	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	NK Slaven Belupo	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	HNK Hajduk Split	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	NK Osijek	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 - 2	Loss

HNL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Istra 1961	5	1	2	2	11	10	+1	5
10	HNK Gorica	5	0	1	4	2	9	-7	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Istra 1961 to win

This prediction indicates that Istra 1961 has a 52.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.87 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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