Jagiellonia vs Saburtalo Thursday 20th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

UEFA Europa League

Aug. 20, 2026 5 days, 15 hours from now VS

Jagiellonia Saburtalo

Jagiellonia D L W W W W

Saburtalo D D D L D W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 13, 26	Away	Rangers	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Home	Widzew Łódź	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 6, 26	Home	Rangers	2 - 1	Win
Jul 31, 26	Away	Motor Lublin	1 - 2	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Łomża	1 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Korona Kielce	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 11, 26	Home	Larne	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 4, 26	Away	Larne	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Away	Slovan Bratislava	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Home	Slovan Bratislava	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 8, 26	Away	Flora Tallinn	2 - 3	Win

This prediction indicates that Jagiellonia has a 65.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.45 %

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