Jaguares vs Alianza Petrolera Monday 28th September 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

Primera A

Sept. 28, 2026 VS

Jaguares Alianza Petrolera

Jaguares D D D W D L

Alianza Petrolera W L L L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alianza Petrolera	Jaguares	1 - 0	March 19, 2026
Jaguares	Alianza Petrolera	0 - 0	November 10, 2024
Alianza Petrolera	Jaguares	2 - 1	April 21, 2024
Jaguares	Alianza Petrolera	0 - 0	September 22, 2023
Alianza Petrolera	Jaguares	3 - 0	April 15, 2023
Jaguares	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 1	July 30, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 11, 26	Home	Fortaleza FC	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Junior	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	America de Cali	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Home	Chico	1 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Once Caldas	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 5, 26	Away	La Equidad	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Home	Junior	1 - 0	Win
Sep 10, 26	Away	Once Caldas	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 3, 26	Away	America de Cali	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Atletico Nacional	1 - 5	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Away	Cucuta	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Deportivo Pereira	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	Jaguares	27	6	7	14	29	47	-18	25
19	Alianza Petrolera	26	3	10	13	18	42	-24	19

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Jaguares has a 40.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.00 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply