JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia Saturday 15th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

JEF United Chiba Machida Zelvia

JEF United Chiba L D L L L W

Machida Zelvia W D D W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
JEF United Chiba	Machida Zelvia	0 - 2	May 10, 2026
Machida Zelvia	JEF United Chiba	2 - 1	February 27, 2026
Machida Zelvia	JEF United Chiba	1 - 3	July 22, 2023
JEF United Chiba	Machida Zelvia	0 - 2	June 3, 2023
JEF United Chiba	Machida Zelvia	1 - 2	August 14, 2022
Machida Zelvia	JEF United Chiba	1 - 1	April 3, 2022

JEF United Chiba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Avispa Fukuoka	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Avispa Fukuoka	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Kashiwa Reysol	4 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Kashima	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Machida Zelvia	0 - 2	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	FC Tokyo	0 - 3	Win

Machida Zelvia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Fujieda MYFC	2 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Nagoya Grampus	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Nagoya Grampus	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Urawa	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Kawasaki Frontale	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Home	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 0	Draw

J1 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Machida Zelvia	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	JEF United Chiba	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Machida Zelvia to win

This prediction indicates that Machida Zelvia has a 41.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.46 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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