Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax logo Jong Ajax
Aug. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Helmond Sport logo Helmond Sport

Match Analysis

Jong Ajax Helmond Sport
Jong Ajax L L L W L L
Helmond Sport D W L L D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Jong Ajax Helmond Sport 5 - 1 February 27, 2026
Helmond Sport Jong Ajax 2 - 1 November 24, 2025
Jong Ajax Helmond Sport 1 - 0 April 28, 2025
Helmond Sport Jong Ajax 1 - 1 October 4, 2024
Helmond Sport Jong Ajax 3 - 1 April 19, 2024
Jong Ajax Helmond Sport 4 - 1 November 27, 2023

Jong Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Away Dordrecht 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Jong AZ 3 - 0 Loss
Apr 24, 26 Home Jong Utrecht 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 17, 26 Away Jong PSV 0 - 1 Win
Apr 13, 26 Home FC OSS 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 6, 26 Away Vitesse 6 - 1 Loss

Helmond Sport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home De Graafschap 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home St. Truiden 1 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Al Taawon 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home KVC Westerlo 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 7, 26 Away Gemert 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home AEK Larnaca 1 - 2 Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Helmond Sport 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Jong Ajax 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Jong Ajax or Helmond Sport to win
This prediction indicates that Jong Ajax has a 38.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.35 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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