Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax logo Jong Ajax
Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Roda logo Roda

Match Analysis

Jong Ajax Roda
Jong Ajax D W L L L L
Roda D W W L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Jong Ajax Roda 2 - 2 January 19, 2026
Roda Jong Ajax 3 - 3 September 12, 2025
Jong Ajax Roda 3 - 1 December 23, 2024
Roda Jong Ajax 2 - 1 October 25, 2024
Jong Ajax Roda 1 - 1 April 26, 2024
Roda Jong Ajax 2 - 1 October 27, 2023

Jong Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away Jong PSV 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Home Helmond Sport 3 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away NAC Breda 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Home Emmen 4 - 6 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Dordrecht 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Jong AZ 3 - 0 Loss

Roda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home NAC Breda 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 21, 26 Away Dordrecht 0 - 1 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home Helmond Sport 2 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Emmen 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Alemannia Aachen 2 - 4 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Beerschot Wilrijk 1 - 0 Win

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Roda 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
15 Jong Ajax 4 1 0 3 10 13 -3 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.11% likelihood that both Jong Ajax and Roda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Roda to win
This prediction indicates that Roda has a 45.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.91 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs FC OSS 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Emmen vs FC Volendam 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Waalwijk vs NAC Breda 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Heracles vs De Graafschap 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›