Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ logo Jong AZ
Aug. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
MVV logo MVV

Match Analysis

Jong AZ MVV
Jong AZ L W W W W W
MVV W D L L D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Jong AZ MVV 1 - 1 March 16, 2026
MVV Jong AZ 1 - 3 November 21, 2025
MVV Jong AZ 0 - 1 March 14, 2025
Jong AZ MVV 2 - 3 December 2, 2024
Jong AZ MVV 2 - 3 May 3, 2024
MVV Jong AZ 4 - 0 December 1, 2023

Jong AZ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Home FC Eindhoven 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Ijsselmeervogels 1 - 7 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Quick Boys 1 - 4 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Sparta Rotterdam II 2 - 3 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Jong Ajax 3 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home FC Volendam 3 - 1 Win

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Jong Utrecht 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Patro Eisden 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Away KAA Gent II 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Waasland-beveren 3 - 4 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away EVV 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Racing FC Union Luxembourg 0 - 0 Draw

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 MVV 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
12 Jong AZ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.29% likelihood that both Jong AZ and MVV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Jong AZ to win
This prediction indicates that Jong AZ has a 57.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.87 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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