Køge vs Riga W Wednesday 05th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Køge Riga W

Køge W L L D L L

Riga W W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Køge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 23	Home	KÍ	3 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 23	Home	KuPS W	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 28, 22	Away	Juventus W	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 20, 22	Home	Juventus W	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 15, 21	Away	Barcelona W	5 - 0	Loss
Dec 9, 21	Home	1899 Hoffenheim W	1 - 2	Loss

Riga W Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Wrexham W	4 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Glentoran BU W	1 - 4	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	Racing W	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 30, 25	Away	Flora	1 - 4	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.98% likelihood that both Køge and Riga W will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Køge or Riga W to win

This prediction indicates that Køge has a 40.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.92 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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