KA Akureyri vs IA Akranes Sunday 12th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

KA Akureyri IA Akranes

KA Akureyri L L L L L W

IA Akranes L W W D W L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
IA Akranes	KA Akureyri	1 - 1	April 22, 2026
KA Akureyri	IA Akranes	5 - 1	October 19, 2025
KA Akureyri	IA Akranes	2 - 0	July 19, 2025
IA Akranes	KA Akureyri	3 - 0	May 4, 2025
IA Akranes	KA Akureyri	1 - 0	September 15, 2024
KA Akureyri	IA Akranes	2 - 3	June 1, 2024

KA Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Stjarnan	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Breidablik	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Home	Fram Reykjavik	3 - 4	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	KR Reykjavik	5 - 3	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Valur Reykjavik	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	FH hafnarfjordur	1 - 2	Win

IA Akranes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 22, 26	Away	KR Reykjavik	5 - 3	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Valur Reykjavik	1 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	FH hafnarfjordur	0 - 1	Win
May 21, 26	Home	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Thor Akureyri	1 - 2	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Keflavik	1 - 3	Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	IA Akranes	11	3	3	5	15	22	-7	12
10	KA Akureyri	11	3	1	7	16	22	-6	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.96% likelihood that both KA Akureyri and IA Akranes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

IA Akranes to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that IA Akranes has a 35.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.74 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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