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Úrvalsdeild

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

KA Akureyri IA Akranes
KA Akureyri L L L L L W
IA Akranes L W W D W L
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
IA Akranes KA Akureyri 1 - 1 April 22, 2026
KA Akureyri IA Akranes 5 - 1 October 19, 2025
KA Akureyri IA Akranes 2 - 0 July 19, 2025
IA Akranes KA Akureyri 3 - 0 May 4, 2025
IA Akranes KA Akureyri 1 - 0 September 15, 2024
KA Akureyri IA Akranes 2 - 3 June 1, 2024

KA Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away Stjarnan 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Breidablik 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 15, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 3 - 4 Loss
May 31, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 3 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 1 - 2 Win

IA Akranes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 22, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 3 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 1 - 0 Win
May 29, 26 Away FH hafnarfjordur 0 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Home IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 1 - 2 Win
May 8, 26 Home Keflavik 1 - 3 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 IA Akranes 11 3 3 5 15 22 -7 12
10 KA Akureyri 11 3 1 7 16 22 -6 10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.96% likelihood that both KA Akureyri and IA Akranes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
IA Akranes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that IA Akranes has a 35.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.74 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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