Emperor Cup
Match Analysis
Kagoshima United
Renofa Yamaguchi
Kagoshima United
W
W
D
W
W
L
Renofa Yamaguchi
L
L
D
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kagoshima United | 2 - 1 | April 18, 2026 |
| Kagoshima United | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 - 0 | February 22, 2026 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kagoshima United | 1 - 0 | July 6, 2024 |
| Kagoshima United | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 - 1 | April 28, 2024 |
| Kagoshima United | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 - 0 | October 20, 2019 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kagoshima United | 1 - 0 | April 14, 2019 |
Kagoshima United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Blaublitz Akita | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Albirex Niigata | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Kitakyushu | 1 - 5 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Roasso Kumamoto | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Biwako Shiga | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Renofa Yamaguchi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Parceiro Nagano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Yokohama FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Kochi United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Roasso Kumamoto | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Sagan Tosu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Kagoshima United to win
This prediction indicates that Kagoshima United has a 50.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.98 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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