Premier League
Match Analysis
Kairat Almaty
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kairat Almaty
L
L
L
L
L
W
FK Tobol Kostanay
W
W
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | Kairat Almaty | 1 - 1 | April 11, 2026 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | Kairat Almaty | 1 - 3 | July 26, 2025 |
| Kairat Almaty | FK Tobol Kostanay | 2 - 1 | April 27, 2025 |
| Kairat Almaty | FK Tobol Kostanay | 2 - 2 | August 25, 2024 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | Kairat Almaty | 1 - 0 | June 15, 2024 |
| Kairat Almaty | FK Tobol Kostanay | 2 - 1 | August 13, 2023 |
Kairat Almaty Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Anderlecht | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Anderlecht | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Ulytau | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Levski Sofia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Omonia Nicosia | 1 - 0 | Win |
FK Tobol Kostanay Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Kaisar | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Irtysh | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | FK Partizan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | FK Partizan | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ordabasy | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Panevėžys | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 36 |
| 10 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.4% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Kairat Almaty to win
This prediction indicates that Kairat Almaty has a 45.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.96 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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