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Cup

Sept. 9, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Kaluga FC UFA
Kaluga W W L D W W
FC UFA W D L D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Kaluga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Avangard Kursk 1 - 2 Win
Aug 12, 26 Home Iskra Smolensk 5 - 0 Win
Feb 21, 26 Home Urozhay 1 - 2 Loss
Feb 15, 26 Home Torpedo Vladimir 1 - 1 Draw
Feb 15, 26 Home Astrakhan 3 - 2 Win
Feb 8, 26 Home Dinamo Vologda 1 - 0 Win

FC UFA Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Enisey 3 - 1 Win
Aug 17, 26 Away Spartak Kostroma 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Ural 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home KAMAZ 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Ska-khabarovsk 1 - 0 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away Tekstilshchik 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Kaluga to win
This prediction indicates that Kaluga has a 41.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.43 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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