Cup logo

Cup

Aug. 26, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Luki-Energiya Cherepovets
Luki-Energiya W W L L W L
Cherepovets D W L W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Luki-Energiya Cherepovets 2 - 4 September 10, 2025

Luki-Energiya Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 12, 26 Away Zvezda St. Petersburg 1 - 2 Win
Mar 17, 26 Home Kyzyltash 2 - 0 Win
Sep 10, 25 Home Cherepovets 2 - 4 Loss
Aug 20, 25 Away Leningradets 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 25 Away Kristall 1 - 3 Win
Feb 16, 25 Away FC Vitebsk 1 - 0 Loss

Cherepovets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 12, 26 Away FC Tosno 0 - 0 Draw
Mar 10, 26 Home Metallurg Lipetsk 6 - 0 Win
Sep 24, 25 Home Shinnik Yaroslavl 1 - 4 Loss
Sep 10, 25 Away Luki-Energiya 2 - 4 Win
Aug 20, 25 Away Zvezda St. Petersburg 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 6, 25 Away Leningradets II 0 - 3 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.54% likelihood that both Luki-Energiya and Cherepovets will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Luki-Energiya to win
This prediction indicates that Luki-Energiya has a 48.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.44 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]