J3 League
Match Analysis
Kamatamare Sanuki
Tochigi SC
Kamatamare Sanuki
L
L
L
L
L
D
Tochigi SC
L
D
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | Tochigi SC | 4 - 1 | July 12, 2025 |
| Tochigi SC | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1 - 0 | May 31, 2025 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | Tochigi SC | 1 - 2 | November 4, 2018 |
| Tochigi SC | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1 - 0 | March 17, 2018 |
| Tochigi SC | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1 - 0 | July 22, 2015 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | Tochigi SC | 0 - 0 | May 17, 2015 |
Kamatamare Sanuki Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Ehime FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | FC Ryukyu | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Biwako Shiga | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Kagoshima United | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Kochi United | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | J.FC Miyazaki | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Kagoshima United | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Parceiro Nagano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Kochi United | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | FC Gifu | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Kitakyushu | 2 - 2 | Draw |
J3 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tochigi SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 18 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
Predictions
Kamatamare Sanuki or Tochigi SC to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi SC has a 42.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.26 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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